Intelligence report
Shining Charizard
2002 Neo Destiny · Unlimited · PSA 9 · Holo Rare
WatchModel tcgs-v1.0.0 · 2026-08-08
60
Quality score
56
Opportunity score
79
Data confidence
Fair value
£5,456
Range £4,927 – £5,986 from 41 comparables
Observed transactions
Outliers excludedAcquisition discipline
- Current market price
- £5,502
- Best available price
- £5,454
- Discount to fair value
- +0.0%
- Required discount
- 0.2%
- Maximum acquisition price
- £4,497
- Opening offer
- £4,047
- Target offer
- £4,317
- Maximum hammer
- £3,587
The maximum acquisition price is fair value less the discount the model requires for illiquidity, volatility and data uncertainty. It is a discipline rule, not a prediction.
Component scores
Value50
Scarcity29
Demand53
Liquidity56
Momentum73
Stability61
Grade quality68
Structural88
Long-term strength67
Data quality79
Thesis
Supporting
- 14 verified sales in the last 12 months (medium liquidity)
- Volume-confirmed 12-month trend of 18.8%
Risks
Population at grade
- At grade
- 2,200
- 12m growth
- +5.3%
- Above grade
- 5.2%
Liquidity
- Band
- Medium
- Sales (12m)
- 14
- Sales (90d)
- 3
- Median gap between sales
- 25 days
- Active listings
- 2
- Est. days to liquidate
- 51
- fixed · dealer£5,454
- auction · private£5,778
Recent comparables
| Date | Venue | Type | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | PWCC | auction | £5,528 |
| 2026-06-17 | PWCC | private | £5,392 |
| 2026-05-29 | Cardmarket | auction | £5,607 |
| 2026-05-07 | PWCC | auction | £5,509 |
| 2026-04-14 | eBay | fixed | £5,494 |
| 2026-03-20 | PWCC | auction | £5,120 |
| 2026-02-05 | Cardmarket | auction | £4,989 |
| 2026-01-27 | eBay | auction | £4,891 |
| 2025-12-22 | eBay | auction | £4,643 |
| 2025-11-27 | eBay | auction | £4,843 |
| 2025-10-28 | Cardmarket | auction | £4,530 |
| 2025-10-14 | Cardmarket | auction | £4,513 |
No investment is currently being offered or accepted through this platform. Any indication of interest is non-binding. This report is an analytical opinion generated from illustrative demonstration data. It is not a valuation, appraisal, price prediction or financial advice.