Intelligence report
Pikachu VMAX Rainbow Rare
2020 Vivid Voltage · Rainbow Rare · PSA 10 · Chase
AvoidModel tcgs-v1.0.0 · 2026-08-08
50
Quality score
47
Opportunity score
85
Data confidence
Fair value
£541
Range £512 – £569 from 221 comparables
Observed transactions
Outliers excludedAcquisition discipline
- Current market price
- £534
- Best available price
- £541
- Discount to fair value
- +0.0%
- Required discount
- 0.2%
- Maximum acquisition price
- £445
- Opening offer
- £401
- Target offer
- £427
- Maximum hammer
- £266
The maximum acquisition price is fair value less the discount the model requires for illiquidity, volatility and data uncertainty. It is a discipline rule, not a prediction.
Component scores
Value50
Scarcity20
Demand65
Liquidity80
Momentum31
Stability48
Grade quality62
Structural41
Long-term strength25
Data quality85
Risk penalties applied
- Population at grade grew 22.8% over 12 months−3.4
Thesis
Supporting
- 73 verified sales in the last 12 months (very high liquidity)
- 221 comparable sales, effective sample 26.77
Risks
- Volatility risk of 52 on realised prices
- Supply pressure: population up 22.8% over 12 months
- Population at grade grew 22.8% over 12 months
Population at grade
- At grade
- 12,400
- 12m growth
- +22.8%
- Above grade
- 0.0%
Liquidity
- Band
- Very High
- Sales (12m)
- 73
- Sales (90d)
- 17
- Median gap between sales
- 5 days
- Active listings
- 2
- Est. days to liquidate
- 22
- fixed · dealer£541
- auction · private£582
Recent comparables
| Date | Venue | Type | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Cardmarket | auction | £502 |
| 2026-07-25 | TCGplayer | private | £535 |
| 2026-07-19 | TCGplayer | auction | £534 |
| 2026-07-17 | eBay | fixed | £545 |
| 2026-07-09 | eBay | fixed | £527 |
| 2026-07-04 | Cardmarket | fixed | £550 |
| 2026-07-01 | Cardmarket | auction | £529 |
| 2026-06-26 | TCGplayer | auction | £526 |
| 2026-06-22 | Cardmarket | fixed | £552 |
| 2026-06-17 | Cardmarket | auction | £550 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cardmarket | fixed | £530 |
| 2026-06-05 | eBay | auction | £531 |
No investment is currently being offered or accepted through this platform. Any indication of interest is non-binding. This report is an analytical opinion generated from illustrative demonstration data. It is not a valuation, appraisal, price prediction or financial advice.