Intelligence report
Gold Star Charizard
2006 EX Dragon Frontiers · Unlimited · PSA 8 · Holo Rare
WatchModel tcgs-v1.0.0 · 2026-09-24
52
Quality score
45
Opportunity score
66
Data confidence
Fair value
£13,969
Range £12,641 – £15,297 from 17 comparables
Observed transactions
Outliers excludedAcquisition discipline
- Current market price
- £15,607
- Best available price
- £14,440
- Discount to fair value
- -0.0%
- Required discount
- 0.2%
- Maximum acquisition price
- £11,006
- Opening offer
- £9,906
- Target offer
- £10,566
- Maximum hammer
- £8,923
The maximum acquisition price is fair value less the discount the model requires for illiquidity, volatility and data uncertainty. It is a discipline rule, not a prediction.
Component scores
Value43
Scarcity37
Demand38
Liquidity32
Momentum43
Stability54
Grade quality54
Structural93
Long-term strength52
Data quality66
Risk penalties applied
- Data confidence of 66% limits precision−0.3
Thesis
Supporting
- Population at grade grew only 3.2% over 12 months
- 17 comparable sales, effective sample 10.25
Risks
- Available price is 3.4% above estimated fair value
- Data confidence limited to 66%
- Data confidence of 66% limits precision
Population at grade
- At grade
- 708
- 12m growth
- +3.2%
- Above grade
- 13.9%
Liquidity
- Band
- Low
- Sales (12m)
- 5
- Sales (90d)
- 0
- Median gap between sales
- 63 days
- Active listings
- 2
- Est. days to liquidate
- 108
- fixed · dealer£14,440
- auction · private£15,808
Recent comparables
| Date | Venue | Type | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | PWCC | private | £15,562 |
| 2026-05-13 | PWCC | private | £15,651 |
| 2026-03-15 | PWCC | auction | £14,572 |
| 2025-12-14 | PWCC | fixed | £14,293 |
| 2025-11-23 | Heritage | fixed | £12,623 |
| 2025-09-14 | Heritage | auction | £13,433 |
| 2025-07-17 | Heritage | auction | £12,671 |
| 2025-05-10 | PWCC | auction | £12,373 |
| 2025-03-25 | Heritage | fixed | £12,783 |
| 2024-12-15 | PWCC | auction | £10,786 |
| 2024-11-24 | Heritage | fixed | £10,400 |
| 2024-09-14 | Heritage | auction | £10,323 |
No investment is currently being offered or accepted through this platform. Any indication of interest is non-binding. This report is an analytical opinion generated from illustrative demonstration data. It is not a valuation, appraisal, price prediction or financial advice.