Intelligence report
Base Set Venusaur
1999 Base Set · Shadowless · PSA 9 · Holo Rare
WatchModel tcgs-v1.0.0 · 2026-09-24
59
Quality score
52
Opportunity score
83
Data confidence
Fair value
£2,340
Range £2,265 – £2,416 from 60 comparables
Observed transactions
Outliers excludedAcquisition discipline
- Current market price
- £2,357
- Best available price
- £2,544
- Discount to fair value
- -0.1%
- Required discount
- 0.2%
- Maximum acquisition price
- £1,981
- Opening offer
- £1,783
- Target offer
- £1,902
- Maximum hammer
- £1,526
The maximum acquisition price is fair value less the discount the model requires for illiquidity, volatility and data uncertainty. It is a discipline rule, not a prediction.
Component scores
Value33
Scarcity27
Demand53
Liquidity56
Momentum57
Stability85
Grade quality67
Structural78
Long-term strength80
Data quality83
Thesis
Supporting
- 18 verified sales in the last 12 months (medium liquidity)
- 60 comparable sales, effective sample 7.06
Risks
- Available price is 8.7% above estimated fair value
Population at grade
- At grade
- 2,250
- 12m growth
- +5.1%
- Above grade
- 7.7%
Liquidity
- Band
- Medium
- Sales (12m)
- 18
- Sales (90d)
- 2
- Median gap between sales
- 16 days
- Active listings
- 2
- Est. days to liquidate
- 38
- fixed · dealer£2,544
- auction · private£2,664
Recent comparables
| Date | Venue | Type | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | eBay | auction | £2,303 |
| 2026-07-06 | eBay | auction | £2,496 |
| 2026-06-20 | Cardmarket | auction | £2,325 |
| 2026-06-04 | eBay | auction | £2,393 |
| 2026-05-21 | Cardmarket | fixed | £2,382 |
| 2026-05-05 | Cardmarket | auction | £2,332 |
| 2026-04-12 | Cardmarket | auction | £2,423 |
| 2026-03-19 | eBay | auction | £2,320 |
| 2026-03-06 | Cardmarket | fixed | £2,347 |
| 2026-02-13 | Cardmarket | fixed | £2,299 |
| 2026-02-03 | eBay | auction | £2,403 |
| 2026-01-21 | eBay | fixed | £2,370 |
No investment is currently being offered or accepted through this platform. Any indication of interest is non-binding. This report is an analytical opinion generated from illustrative demonstration data. It is not a valuation, appraisal, price prediction or financial advice.