Intelligence report
Base Set Blastoise
1999 Base Set · Shadowless · PSA 9 · Holo Rare
WatchModel tcgs-v1.0.0 · 2026-09-24
61
Quality score
65
Opportunity score
82
Data confidence
Fair value
£3,053
Range £2,911 – £3,195 from 54 comparables
Observed transactions
Outliers excludedAcquisition discipline
- Current market price
- £3,132
- Best available price
- £2,480
- Discount to fair value
- +0.2%
- Required discount
- 0.2%
- Maximum acquisition price
- £2,575
- Opening offer
- £2,317
- Target offer
- £2,472
- Maximum hammer
- £2,012
The maximum acquisition price is fair value less the discount the model requires for illiquidity, volatility and data uncertainty. It is a discipline rule, not a prediction.
Component scores
Value88
Scarcity29
Demand55
Liquidity57
Momentum57
Stability80
Grade quality68
Structural82
Long-term strength80
Data quality82
Thesis
Supporting
- Available price sits 18.8% below estimated fair value
- 17 verified sales in the last 12 months (medium liquidity)
- 54 comparable sales, effective sample 6.65
Risks
Population at grade
- At grade
- 1,980
- 12m growth
- +4.9%
- Above grade
- 6.7%
Liquidity
- Band
- Medium
- Sales (12m)
- 17
- Sales (90d)
- 2
- Median gap between sales
- 19 days
- Active listings
- 3
- Est. days to liquidate
- 43
- fixed · dealer£2,480
- auction · private£3,007
- fixed · private£3,193
Recent comparables
| Date | Venue | Type | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | PWCC | auction | £3,043 |
| 2026-07-04 | PWCC | auction | £2,982 |
| 2026-06-17 | PWCC | auction | £3,010 |
| 2026-05-27 | Cardmarket | fixed | £3,223 |
| 2026-05-14 | Cardmarket | auction | £3,241 |
| 2026-04-26 | Cardmarket | auction | £3,222 |
| 2026-03-24 | eBay | auction | £3,212 |
| 2026-03-17 | eBay | auction | £3,109 |
| 2026-02-20 | eBay | auction | £2,905 |
| 2026-02-07 | Cardmarket | fixed | £2,926 |
| 2026-01-16 | eBay | fixed | £2,904 |
| 2025-12-18 | Cardmarket | auction | £2,816 |
No investment is currently being offered or accepted through this platform. Any indication of interest is non-binding. This report is an analytical opinion generated from illustrative demonstration data. It is not a valuation, appraisal, price prediction or financial advice.